All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Huntington North Invitational |
Marion Invitational |
Bruin Invitational |
Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational |
West Noble Invitational |
New Haven Classic |
Northrop Sectional |
West Noble Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
Date | |
8/19 |
9/2 |
9/9 |
9/16 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
10/7 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
10/28 |
Team Rating |
189 |
152 |
210 |
676 |
197 |
625 |
345 |
319 |
309 |
350 |
250 |
Team Adjusted Rating | |
152 |
210 |
189 |
197 |
189 |
221 |
196 |
216 |
259 |
173 |
State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Huntington North Invitational |
Marion Invitational |
Bruin Invitational |
Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational |
West Noble Invitational |
New Haven Classic |
Northrop Sectional |
West Noble Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
3 |
Cole Powers |
11 |
15:34 |
15:40 |
15:27 |
|
15:40 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
13 |
Connor Goetz |
12 |
15:45 |
15:41 |
15:27 |
|
15:50 |
|
15:40 |
15:47 |
15:52 |
15:53 |
15:51 |
81 |
Draven Thompson |
11 |
16:28 |
16:18 |
17:01 |
|
16:43 |
|
16:40 |
16:45 |
16:30 |
16:48 |
16:21 |
118 |
Cory Waldron |
11 |
16:41 |
16:11 |
16:45 |
|
16:30 |
|
|
|
17:39 |
17:09 |
16:34 |
139 |
Weston Miser |
11 |
16:45 |
17:03 |
16:38 |
|
16:46 |
|
17:06 |
16:36 |
16:39 |
16:59 |
16:41 |
291 |
Chase Miguel |
11 |
17:08 |
16:50 |
|
|
|
17:10 |
17:22 |
17:08 |
17:07 |
17:15 |
17:05 |
407 |
Jack Just |
12 |
17:24 |
|
17:14 |
|
|
|
17:15 |
17:37 |
17:27 |
|
|
409 |
Andrew Howard |
12 |
17:24 |
17:27 |
|
17:02 |
17:42 |
|
17:10 |
|
|
17:23 |
17:42 |
442 |
Hunter Wallace |
11 |
17:27 |
17:30 |
17:39 |
|
|
17:57 |
17:32 |
17:17 |
17:16 |
17:30 |
17:28 |
486 |
Will Terry |
12 |
17:31 |
17:48 |
17:12 |
|
|
|
17:36 |
|
|
|
|
495 |
Hayden Mullett |
10 |
17:33 |
17:20 |
|
17:44 |
|
17:42 |
17:26 |
17:33 |
|
|
|
631 |
Zach Ingermann |
12 |
17:47 |
|
17:23 |
17:35 |
17:54 |
|
18:17 |
|
|
|
|
797 |
Samuel Burchett |
12 |
18:01 |
17:53 |
18:13 |
18:08 |
|
17:41 |
18:08 |
|
|
|
|
829 |
Cooper Green |
11 |
18:03 |
17:47 |
18:06 |
18:02 |
|
17:22 |
19:40 |
|
|
|
|
908 |
Tim Derose |
10 |
18:09 |
17:49 |
18:28 |
18:11 |
|
18:14 |
18:04 |
|
|
|
|
1,055 |
Harrison Dinius |
11 |
18:19 |
|
18:00 |
18:14 |
|
18:29 |
18:36 |
|
|
|
|
1,177 |
Wyatt Schroeder |
10 |
18:28 |
18:09 |
17:51 |
18:40 |
|
18:35 |
18:49 |
|
|
|
|
1,178 |
Graydon Sylvester |
9 |
18:28 |
18:35 |
18:20 |
18:34 |
|
18:41 |
18:13 |
|
|
|
|
1,360 |
Seth Ernest |
12 |
18:42 |
18:31 |
19:07 |
18:16 |
|
18:49 |
18:50 |
|
|
|
|
1,462 |
Henry Wellman |
10 |
18:49 |
|
|
18:47 |
|
18:54 |
18:49 |
|
|
|
|
1,494 |
Ian Gongwer |
9 |
18:51 |
18:43 |
18:54 |
18:35 |
|
|
19:18 |
|
|
|
|
1,541 |
Saul Guzman |
11 |
18:54 |
18:20 |
18:40 |
18:28 |
|
19:27 |
19:41 |
|
|
|
|
|
Logan Meyer |
11 |
19:06 |
18:57 |
19:09 |
19:11 |
|
19:19 |
18:58 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
State Finals |
100% |
11.1 |
316 |
|
0.3 |
0.7 |
2.0 |
3.6 |
6.3 |
7.0 |
9.4 |
10.3 |
8.1 |
8.4 |
9.1 |
7.2 |
6.4 |
5.2 |
5.3 |
3.8 |
2.4 |
2.1 |
1.4 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
|
Semi-State |
100% |
2.6 |
108 |
6.9 |
53.3 |
23.9 |
9.7 |
4.1 |
1.7 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Regionals |
100% |
2.2 |
71 |
6.5 |
73.9 |
14.1 |
4.2 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sectionals |
100% |
1.3 |
45 |
80.2 |
14.3 |
4.6 |
0.9 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance. Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Connor Goetz |
100% |
11.3 |
0.9 |
1.9 |
4.4 |
4.2 |
5.4 |
6.4 |
5.7 |
4.9 |
5.8 |
4.8 |
4.6 |
5.3 |
4.9 |
4.5 |
4.1 |
4.1 |
3.2 |
3.1 |
2.6 |
3.1 |
2.4 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
1.8 |
1.1 |
|
100.0% |
Draven Thompson |
100% |
75.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
62.1% |
Cory Waldron |
100% |
105.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
21.9% |
Weston Miser |
100% |
114.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
11.9% |
Chase Miguel |
100% |
156.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2% |
Jack Just |
100% |
176.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
Andrew Howard |
100% |
176.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Connor Goetz |
100% |
2.6 |
16.8 |
22.4 |
18.4 |
17.3 |
12.8 |
7.5 |
3.3 |
1.1 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Draven Thompson |
100% |
14.9 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.2 |
1.0 |
2.0 |
4.2 |
5.6 |
7.5 |
6.9 |
7.0 |
6.3 |
4.9 |
5.0 |
4.8 |
4.2 |
4.3 |
3.2 |
3.4 |
2.7 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
2.5 |
2.2 |
|
99.9% |
Cory Waldron |
100% |
28.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.6 |
0.5 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
2.6 |
2.2 |
2.7 |
2.6 |
2.6 |
2.1 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
3.7 |
2.4 |
|
98.7% |
Weston Miser |
100% |
34.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
1.8 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.5 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
1.9 |
2.8 |
|
96.6% |
Chase Miguel |
100% |
68.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
48.2% |
Jack Just |
100% |
89.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
9.5% |
Andrew Howard |
100% |
89.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
9.2% |
Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Connor Goetz |
100% |
1.8 |
25.7 |
30.4 |
25.0 |
15.6 |
2.9 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Draven Thompson |
100% |
7.7 |
|
|
0.2 |
0.9 |
8.5 |
18.2 |
13.0 |
12.8 |
8.9 |
7.8 |
7.6 |
5.4 |
4.0 |
3.8 |
2.7 |
1.7 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
Cory Waldron |
100% |
13.6 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.6 |
2.0 |
3.5 |
5.5 |
5.8 |
6.2 |
6.9 |
8.1 |
8.0 |
6.2 |
8.0 |
6.4 |
5.7 |
5.0 |
4.0 |
3.9 |
2.7 |
2.5 |
2.4 |
1.5 |
1.3 |
|
100.0% |
Weston Miser |
100% |
16.0 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
3.1 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
6.1 |
6.7 |
6.0 |
6.7 |
7.6 |
6.9 |
6.4 |
5.5 |
5.4 |
4.5 |
3.9 |
3.2 |
2.9 |
2.8 |
|
100.0% |
Chase Miguel |
100% |
30.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.4 |
2.3 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
4.3 |
|
100.0% |
Jack Just |
100% |
44.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
|
97.2% |
Andrew Howard |
100% |
45.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
|
96.8% |
Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Connor Goetz |
1.0 |
68.2 |
28.2 |
3.5 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Draven Thompson |
4.2 |
|
1.0 |
9.7 |
34.8 |
20.4 |
11.8 |
8.6 |
5.3 |
3.4 |
2.3 |
1.3 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cory Waldron |
7.7 |
|
|
0.5 |
4.0 |
11.7 |
12.8 |
12.3 |
12.5 |
11.6 |
9.8 |
6.8 |
4.9 |
4.3 |
3.4 |
2.0 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
Weston Miser |
9.2 |
|
|
0.1 |
1.3 |
5.2 |
8.5 |
10.9 |
10.7 |
11.0 |
10.9 |
8.3 |
6.5 |
8.0 |
5.8 |
4.2 |
2.6 |
2.2 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
Chase Miguel |
18.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
2.3 |
3.0 |
5.0 |
4.4 |
5.7 |
7.3 |
6.7 |
7.7 |
8.0 |
7.3 |
5.9 |
6.3 |
4.6 |
3.9 |
3.2 |
Jack Just |
28.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
3.2 |
3.7 |
5.6 |
5.0 |
4.7 |
Andrew Howard |
28.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
3.8 |
3.8 |
4.2 |
5.0 |
4.7 |
|